The Latest: August - 2026
More Cows Equals More Milk
USDA raised its estimate of June milk production as well, from an already strong 2.3% increase to an impressive 3% advance. Dairy producers did not add any cows in July, according to USDA’s best guess, but they didn’t get rid of any either. The dairy herd held steady at 9.71 million cows, up 199,000 from the year before. The U.S. dairy industry is milking more cows than it has in 33 years, and those cows are making 59% more milk than they did in 1993, the last time the herd was this large, before adjusting for today’s super-charged components.
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Consumers continue to reach for kitchen staples that are familiar and convenient, and Cheddar fits the bill.
View reportAll of the CME spot markets moved higher, and cheese did so with particular verve. Once the laggard, barrels are now the leader.
View reportThose markets that gained ground last week gave some of it back this week, while last week’s losers are now on the rise.
View reportCME spot Cheddar blocks soared to the largest single-session increase on record. Barrels followed reluctantly and the block-barrel spread gaped. The market is on tenterhooks to see whether blocks will move lower or barrels higher to close the gap.
View reportDairy producers are doing their best to top up the bulk tank while the futures promise decent Class III values. Cheesemakers are going strong, and they report that cheese is moving apace.
View reportThe cheese markets stand well below the summer peaks but have made a surprisingly quick return to the lofty elevations from a month ago. Despite the impressive uphill sprint, the trade is clearly questioning the cheese market’s stamina.
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