The Latest: October - 2026
Tidal Wave of Milk
The dairy markets are awash in a tidal wave of milk. USDA’s latest Milk Production report showed that August milk output was notably higher than previously thought, and the agency pegged September milk production at 19.4 billion pounds, up 2.6% year over year, far higher than LaSalle Street expected. The recent ups and downs in the dairy markets did not diminish dairy producers’ appetite for growth. They added 26,000 cows last month, lifting the dairy herd to 9.74 million head.
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Prices fluctuate as new market information collides with the realities of supply and demand. Reports indicate that milk production continues to exceed prior year levels and is growing seasonally as spring approaches.
View reportMilk production growth was strong across most of the United States in December, with the West and the Midwest posting particularly convincing figures. A dramatic expansion in the national dairy herd drove much of the increase.
View reportEven with a short week, there was no lack of action in the dairy markets. However, the market took the news poorly with most dairy commodities moving decisively downward.
View reportAfter the enthusiasm ignited by last week’s USDA announcement, most commodities struggled to keep the momentum going. The butter and cheese markets both finished the week on a softer note while dry products, especially whey, fared somewhat better.
View reportMonday’s announcement that the USDA is extending its Farmers to Families Food Box Program spurred dairy commodity prices upward, with all products seeing gains during Tuesday’s spot session.
View reportThere is no word yet on when USDA will begin spending its allocations, which makes it difficult to assess the repercussions for the dairy markets. The dairy funding could make a big splash if it is spent in a short time, or slowly ripple through the markets if spent steadily throughout the next year.
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