The Latest: May - 2026
The Short Squeeze Is Over
When Wile E. Coyote plummets off a cliff, Warner Brothers inevitably plays a “descending slide whistle.” That heart-dropping sound echoed across LaSalle Street this week as the bottom fell out of the milk powder market. The short squeeze is over. The two milk powder manufacturers who were desperately bidding for product to meet the commitments they could not fill with their own supplies due to food safety recalls have likely caught up and are back to using their own powder. And sky-high prices have killed demand from other buyers.
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On Monday they sprinted straight uphill to a record-shattering price. Their journey to that point is an astounding feat of strength and stamina but by the end of the week, prices had fallen far enough to attract buyers.
View reportIn an environment as fickle as the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, bulls are not typically bred for their stamina. But in the Cheddar block market there is a bull of a different breed.
View reportAlthough there is plenty of milk, there is a shortage of fresh cheese and demand remains resilient despite the price.
View reportFears that the meteoric rise was all sparkle and no substance were doused by buyer’s willingness to step in and make a purchase, rather than sit on the sidelines and let the selloff run its course.
View reportA steep decline in milk output in May likely slowed cheese production and tightened the supply of fresh cheese for sale in Chicago today, prompting the remarkable run in the spot market.
View reportAfter a few days romping around LaSalle Street, they left abruptly. By Thursday the market had run out of positive fundamental news with which to fill their troughs.
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