The Latest: August - 2026
Ever Evolving Supply and Demand Dynamics
The dairy markets remained unsettled this week as prices shifted under the weight of evolving supply and demand dynamics. Different commodities exhibited markedly divergent trajectories with milk powder and cheese finding traction while, butter and dry whey slid lower.
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Monday’s announcement that the USDA is extending its Farmers to Families Food Box Program spurred dairy commodity prices upward, with all products seeing gains during Tuesday’s spot session.
View reportThere is no word yet on when USDA will begin spending its allocations, which makes it difficult to assess the repercussions for the dairy markets. The dairy funding could make a big splash if it is spent in a short time, or slowly ripple through the markets if spent steadily throughout the next year.
View reportA setback is possible, but it’s impossible to predict the timing or magnitude of a retreat from the highs. Seasoned traders warn “Don’t fight the trend.”
View reportFebruary through December contracts posted life-of-contract highs, a sign of health and good cheer.
View reportThere is plenty of fodder for both the bulls and the bears, creating a rather schizophrenic trading market. We’re in a full-blown weather market, and the futures will be as fickle as the forecast.
View reportConcerns about worsening demand are colliding with rising supplies as milk floods the market.
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