The Latest: July - 2026
Milk is Starting to Feel Tight
Milk is starting to feel tight. Summer temperatures have reduced milk yields, and USDA reports that “some plants are noting lighter production, with insufficient supply to run full loads.” Fairlife is once again taking as much milk as possible, alleviating the temporary surge in spot milk sales. This week, spot milk changed hands at $1 to $5 premiums in the Central region, the loftiest late-July markups in at least a decade.
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Milk is undeniably long and with the spring flush imminent in most parts of the country, supplies are expected to remain plentiful. Yet even as milk remains abundant, demand has also perked up, helping to keep markets in balance. Butter manufacturers report that domestic demand has been healthy while the spot whey market continued to reach new heights, setting another record this week.
View reportOver the past year, the dairy markets have exhibited extreme volatility, adjusting to drastic shifts in both supply and demand. Consumer behaviors are shifting back towards something that resembles pre-pandemic times.
View reportWith a sense of normalcy restored, and the spring flush rapidly approaching, milk is still plentiful and has resulted in copious dairy product production.
View reportMany plants are keeping busy schedules as they attempt to compensate for last week’s closures, while displaced spot loads of milk and cream continue to search for homes.
View reportThough it will take some time for the impacts of the weather to become fully appreciated, a reduction in milk production and increase in culling is likely in the coming weeks.
View reportInventories for most dairy products remain heavier than typical for this time of year. Nevertheless, the situation is evolving and tighter markets could be on the horizon.
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