The Latest: August - 2026
Summer Heat
Drought in the Plains withered the U.S. wheat crop to its smallest harvest since 1970. The drought has also reduced forage supplies and raised hay prices throughout the West. Similarly scorching weather reduced Europe’s grain harvest by 8% compared to last year’s bumper harvest. Meanwhile, Russia and Ukraine continue to bomb one another’s ports and cargo ships, throttling grain exports from the breadbasket on the Black Sea. Smaller, less accessible global wheat supplies suggest that U.S. corn exports could speed up from an already breakneck pace.
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USDA announced that it would end the Farmers to Families Food Box program after May, squelching hopes surrounding the government spending that propelled the cheese and Class III markets to unsustainable heights in 2020.
View reportNearly all products gained ground at the CME spot market with the exception of Whey. The other spot dairy products moved decisively upward.
View reportWith milk production expected to stay strong, dairy product production will continue to be robust. This aggressive production threatens to overhang the market unless demand can demonstrate a meaningful and sustained expansion.
View reportCheese manufacturers report that demand has improved from both domestic and international sources. Even with improved demand, supply remains more than ample and inventories are growing.
View reportMilk is undeniably long and with the spring flush imminent in most parts of the country, supplies are expected to remain plentiful. Yet even as milk remains abundant, demand has also perked up, helping to keep markets in balance. Butter manufacturers report that domestic demand has been healthy while the spot whey market continued to reach new heights, setting another record this week.
View reportOver the past year, the dairy markets have exhibited extreme volatility, adjusting to drastic shifts in both supply and demand. Consumer behaviors are shifting back towards something that resembles pre-pandemic times.
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