The Latest: December - 2025
Drowning in Butterfat
The U.S. dairy industry is drowning in butterfat. In October, America’s dairy herd cranked out 3.7% more milk than the year before, and cream production soared 5.9% year over year. On Monday, USDA will publish a fresh round of milk production data, and even greater gains are likely.
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The bulls are still bruised after getting walloped in mid-September, when spot cheese staged an invigorating climb followed by a dramatic collapse.
View reportThe fundamentals of the milk powder market seem particularly healthy, and the bulls are roaming free.
View reportAfter much volatility, the boundaries are becoming clearer. The spread between blocks and barrels narrowed, adding another layer of uncertainty to the already complex cheese markets.
View reportAfter rocketing higher last week, CME spot Cheddar blocks continued to soar. But, the cheese markets are likely to remain volatile.
View reportThough the bulls made headway, their progress was laborious. Each week they argued that tighter milk supplies and falling cheese inventories should lift prices. Now, the bulls are clearly in charge.
View reportFootball season has arrived, schools are back in session, and cheese demand is excellent. Output is not keeping pace. While Cheddar blocks score fresh multi-year highs, spot butter reached a milestone of a very different sort.
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