The Latest: October - 2026
The Fresh Cheese Squeeze Is Over
The wild ride continued in the CME spot Cheddar market. Blocks soared in the first three weeks of October as cheese buyers scrambled to source fresh Cheddar from plants without production issues. And USDA offered more clarity on those ongoing issues, reporting in Dairy Market News, “The ongoing focus on high protein, premium whey concentrates has led some cheese manufacturers to push the cheesemaking process further than usual. This is increasing liquid whey output, resulting in more off spec cheese production.” Nonetheless, it seems that the fresh cheese squeeze is over.
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Dairy commodity prices continue to flounder under the pressure of plentiful supplies and, in turn, are weighing on milk prices.
View reportDespite falling milk prices and tightening margins, milk supplies remain ample in most parts of the country. Elevated summer temperatures and humidity are starting to weigh on cow comfort and negatively impact output, but only in parts of the nation.
View reportThe Midwest region has been overwhelmed with excess milk since December, and producers are paying for it in the form of steep discounts on spot milk, bigger freight deductions, and – in the worst instances – dumped milk.
View reportThe long-awaited rains have disappointed so far. A weekend drizzle and sporadic showers over the past few days have not added up to much, and soils are parched in the Corn Belt. USDA estimates that 57% of U.S. corn production is currently struggling through drought.
View reportThe Midwest is awash in milk, and many dairy producers have been forced to dump milk that could not find a home. Cheesemakers say they are taking all they can, but the spot milk market is still “sloppy,” with more loads trading at steeper discounts.
View reportThere is simply too much cheese. USDA’s Dairy Market News reports that cheese production schedules are “steady to stronger” and, for some cheesemakers, “limited warehouse space is becoming a concern.” Meanwhile, there is plenty of milk, especially now that bottlers are slowing down intakes for summer break.
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