The Latest: December - 2025
Competition For Exports Is Fierce
Combined milk collections among the world’s five largest dairy exporters jumped 4.3% year over year in October, the fastest growth for the group since 2014, when Europe was preparing to end its quota system. Competition for exports is fierce, prompting a race to the bottom in the dairy markets. At the Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auction this week, the GDT Index extended its eight-event losing streak. The 4.3% drop pushed the GDT Index to its lowest level since early 2024.
View Report
CME spot Cheddar blocks soared to the largest single-session increase on record. Barrels followed reluctantly and the block-barrel spread gaped. The market is on tenterhooks to see whether blocks will move lower or barrels higher to close the gap.
View reportDairy producers are doing their best to top up the bulk tank while the futures promise decent Class III values. Cheesemakers are going strong, and they report that cheese is moving apace.
View reportThe cheese markets stand well below the summer peaks but have made a surprisingly quick return to the lofty elevations from a month ago. Despite the impressive uphill sprint, the trade is clearly questioning the cheese market’s stamina.
View reportSteep losses at mid-week and a Friday rebound added up to net gains across the board.
View reportCheddar markets lost a lot of ground, but tried to put up a fight. Barrels regained some territory signaling that the market is fumbling about for fair value.
View reportCheesemakers are still going strong, and spot milk continues to move in the Midwest. However, demand is lackluster with foodservice outlets pulling back on orders in some areas.
View report