The Latest: October - 2026
Protein Powders Strengthen While Cheese and Butter Bounce Off the Bottom
The gap between U.S. and international milk powder values has widened to a chasm and even buyers in Mexico are starting to look elsewhere. After glancing at prices across the border, Mexican buyers stepped up the volume of their bids at the GDT this week. That’s evidence of a downshift in U.S. trade prospects, which were already in decline.
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Soaring temperatures and suffocating humidity are challenging milk production in many parts of the country. As the mercury rises, cow comfort has suffered, and milk production has declined. Spot milk availability has tightened up considerably and Dairy Market News notes that even during the holiday last week, milk handlers in the Midwest had few excess loads to place. Processors that hope to find spot loads of milk are paying an average of 50¢ over Class III – a sharp contrast to the five-year average of nearly a $2.70/cwt. discount.
View reportCheese stocks typically grow throughout the spring, as the flush pushes more cheap milk to cheese processors, and demand ebbs. But this year, spot milk wasn’t all that cheap, both export and domestic demand soared, and cheese stocks shrank.
View reportDairy producers did everything they could to keep their barns full last month after milk prices soared. Despite record-high beef prices – they lowered their standards on the milk yields required to keep a cow in her stall rather than sending her to the packer.
View reportStrong domestic cheese demand propelled Class III futures to fresh life-of-contract highs this week. On Thursday, third-quarter contracts settled at an average of $21.28 per cwt., an astoundingly lofty value considering U.S. cheese production capacity and fierce competition for exports.
View reportJuly through December Class III and a smattering of Class IV futures notched life-of-contract highs this week. While most Class III contracts ultimately settled a little lower than they did last Friday, Class IV futures added roughly 30ȼ.
View reportAfter notching a new spring high last Friday, butter values plunged early this week. The Tuesday morning selloff was steep but ultimately short-lived. By Thursday, butter buyers were once again bidding with enthusiasm.
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