The Latest: July - 2026
Inflation Eases, But Energy Risks Remain
U.S. consumers felt a bit of relief in June as prices eased somewhat. The Consumer Price Index, published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) eased to 3.5% during the month, down 0.7 percentage points from May due especially to softer energy prices. Lower gasoline prices were also the key driver that boosted the Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI), which rose to 54.4 points in the preliminary July reading published by the University of Michigan.
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Soaring temperatures and suffocating humidity are challenging milk production in many parts of the country. As the mercury rises, cow comfort has suffered, and milk production has declined. Spot milk availability has tightened up considerably and Dairy Market News notes that even during the holiday last week, milk handlers in the Midwest had few excess loads to place. Processors that hope to find spot loads of milk are paying an average of 50¢ over Class III – a sharp contrast to the five-year average of nearly a $2.70/cwt. discount.
View reportCheese stocks typically grow throughout the spring, as the flush pushes more cheap milk to cheese processors, and demand ebbs. But this year, spot milk wasn’t all that cheap, both export and domestic demand soared, and cheese stocks shrank.
View reportDairy producers did everything they could to keep their barns full last month after milk prices soared. Despite record-high beef prices – they lowered their standards on the milk yields required to keep a cow in her stall rather than sending her to the packer.
View reportStrong domestic cheese demand propelled Class III futures to fresh life-of-contract highs this week. On Thursday, third-quarter contracts settled at an average of $21.28 per cwt., an astoundingly lofty value considering U.S. cheese production capacity and fierce competition for exports.
View reportJuly through December Class III and a smattering of Class IV futures notched life-of-contract highs this week. While most Class III contracts ultimately settled a little lower than they did last Friday, Class IV futures added roughly 30ȼ.
View reportAfter notching a new spring high last Friday, butter values plunged early this week. The Tuesday morning selloff was steep but ultimately short-lived. By Thursday, butter buyers were once again bidding with enthusiasm.
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