The Latest: October - 2026
Dairy Market Continues to Diverge
The dairy markets continue to diverge. Strong demand for proteins is lifting powder values. This week, CME spot whey powder gained another 2ȼ and reached 82.5ȼ per pound, a fresh 4.5-year high. Spot nonfat dry milk added a nickel, climbing to $2.22, just 7.5ȼ below the all-time high reached this spring. Asian buyers are eager to import U.S. whey powder, propping up prices despite robust production. For NDM, both domestic and international demand are strong, while production remains restrained. Other dairy processors are lapping up much of the milk supply, spot milk prices are rising, and dryers are running light in the Southwest. U.S. milk powder exports to Mexico are formidable.
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The nation is awash in milk. The dairy herd has not been this large since 1994. High feed costs may deter further expansion, but with that kind of cow power, the industry is sure to keep milk production well above prior-year levels for months to come. May output is likely to impress. While the rest of the dairy complex retreats, whey advances.
View reportSome dairy producers are partially shielded from higher feed expenses through a combination of inventories, contracts, and farming. Many have been battered by low Class IV values and widespread depooling, and are now being clobbered by immense feed bills. They are reeling.
View reportThe U.S. dairy industry has expanded cheese processing capacity noticeably, and it shows. The flush has accelerated and, according to USDA’s Dairy Market News, cheese makers are “busy.”
View reportThe bulls continued their leisurely stroll through the dairy pits this week and the milk markets moved higher.
View reportSpring is here. Tankers are lining up at milk powder plants around the nation. A shortage of trucks and drivers is complicating the annual rush to move milk from regions with surplus to regions with spare balancing capacity. Milk powder demand remains strong as whey futures reached 14-year highs early in the week but then retreated.
View reportUSDA announced that it would end the Farmers to Families Food Box program after May, squelching hopes surrounding the government spending that propelled the cheese and Class III markets to unsustainable heights in 2020.
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