The Latest: November - 2025
Larger Herd Continues to Drive Stronger Output
Milk continues to gush across the United States. In the most recent Milk Production report, USDA pegged October production at 19.47 billion pounds, representing a year over year gain of 3.7%. A larger herd continues to drive stronger output, but the tide may be shifting. For the first time this year dairy producers reduced cow numbers by 6,000 head during October, bringing the national herd to 9.575 million head. Even so, cow numbers are up an astonishing 208,000 head compared to a year ago.
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The combination of more milk and more cows stopped the bulls in their tracks, and made for a lot of red ink on LaSalle Street through mid-week.
View reportThe bulk of the government buying is supposed to end soon, but, judging by the sudden rally on Thursday, the trade may expect another round of aid for dairy purchases.
View reportConsumers continue to reach for kitchen staples that are familiar and convenient, and Cheddar fits the bill.
View reportAll of the CME spot markets moved higher, and cheese did so with particular verve. Once the laggard, barrels are now the leader.
View reportThose markets that gained ground last week gave some of it back this week, while last week’s losers are now on the rise.
View reportCME spot Cheddar blocks soared to the largest single-session increase on record. Barrels followed reluctantly and the block-barrel spread gaped. The market is on tenterhooks to see whether blocks will move lower or barrels higher to close the gap.
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