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The Bulls Frolicked on LaSalle Street This Week

The steep December selloff was a necessary correction and was not the start of a sustained downtrend. With the exception of butter, dairy demand is outpacing supply and supporting dairy product prices.

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CME spot Cheddar barrels dropped to a 10-month low but came roaring back. The powder markets firmed as well.

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Milk yields and components remain high while an unsettled market tries to digest the holiday excess.

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Revenues improved throughout the year. Although not sufficient to undo years of financial distress, it is the highest revenue since 2014 and worthy of celebration.

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The market did its job, encouraging production, discouraging sales, and returning to equilibrium at more sustainable values.

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Pass the egg nog, please. USDA announced the highest Class III price in five years. That’s a lot of Christmas cheer heading for dairy producers’ mailboxes. The butter market, however, is suffering a holiday hangover.

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The gains were driven by impressive improvements in milk production per cow. Higher prices and mild weather have boosted milk output.

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Spot Cheddar is still at a rather lofty perch and spot barrels have the highest value in more than five years. The markets are doing their job.

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CME spot Cheddar barrels reached a five-year high, then the bids dried up.

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The Cheddar market was already red hot, but barrels pushed the mercury even higher this week.

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Fresh cheese is tight, and the markets seem to have someone – or several someones – over a barrel. High prices are working to trim demand at the margins, boost production, and attract imports.

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