The Latest: May - 2026
Historically Lofty Perch
After a heart-stopping plunge off the cliff, the milk powder markets found a ledge and clambered upward. CME spot nonfat dry milk (NDM) regained 1.75ȼ this week and closed at $2.09 per pound. That’s well below the recent peak, but it’s a historically lofty perch from which the market can pause, catch its breath, and determine if it has the strength to keep climbing, or if it should continue the descent toward historically normal levels that are far below today’s prices.
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Higher operating expenses and feed bills have significantly raised the cost of production for dairy producers, eating deep into milk checks. Like every industry, dairy producers must also absorb the intangible expense of increased inefficiencies caused by product shortages and logistics headaches.
View reportU.S. cheese production topped 1.14 billion pounds in September, scoring an all-time high in daily average output. There is clearly plenty of fresh Cheddar available, and cheesemakers are unloading some at the market of last resort in Chicago.
View reportThe U.S. dairy herd is much smaller than once thought, and milk production barely grew at all in September. Early indications suggest milk output is once again below year-ago levels in Europe.
View reportUSDA’s Milk Production report, released Wednesday, suggested that national milk supplies are growing at a slower rate than many analysts previously believed. Lighter milk supplies have likely helped to keep upward pressure on the markets this week.
View reportDespite some moderation during Friday’s spot session, gains earlier in the week left prices higher than last Friday for both butter and nonfat dry milk (NDM), pushing Class IV milk values upward.
View reportHot weather weighed on U.S. milk yields and slowed milk powder output in August. As the impacts of the summer heat wave fade and bottlers settle into the school milk routine, there is more milk available for processing.
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