The Latest: July - 2026
Milk is Starting to Feel Tight
Milk is starting to feel tight. Summer temperatures have reduced milk yields, and USDA reports that “some plants are noting lighter production, with insufficient supply to run full loads.” Fairlife is once again taking as much milk as possible, alleviating the temporary surge in spot milk sales. This week, spot milk changed hands at $1 to $5 premiums in the Central region, the loftiest late-July markups in at least a decade.
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At the Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auction on Tuesday, the GDT Index jumped 4.6% to its highest price since March 2014, led by a 5.6% increase in the price of whole milk powder (WMP). GDT butter and cheese both scored all-time highs, while SMP climbed to prices not seen in nearly eight years.
View reportMarkets are swinging wildly from heart-stopping highs to stomach-churning lows and back again. But unlike thrill rides, the dairy markets are breaking new ground.
View reportPrices are high and extremely volatile as the trade assesses how long global milk output will remain depressed and whether demand will hold firm despite the rising cost of dairy.
View reportThe dairy markets are full of Christmas cheer for producers, while dairy buyers are grunting “Bah! Humbug,” into their egg nog. The milkfat market is especially festive and the whey market just keeps climbing.
View reportLower milk production abroad will make more room for U.S. dairy product exports, even if the global appetite for dairy products fades modestly.
View reportFrom the darkest corners of the Board of Trade building, the bears whispered their concerns about the health of the global economy and accelerating inflation. But their warnings were drowned out by the stamping of hooves as the markets shot enthusiastically upward.
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