The Latest: February - 2026
Product Scarcity Driving the Milk Powder Market
Product scarcity seems to be driving the gains in the milk powder market as buyers seeking product are coming up empty-handed. According to USDA’s Dairy Products report, combined output of NDM and skim milk powder (SMP) was just 170.3 million pounds in December, down 6.2% compared to the same month last year. NDM prices have been climbing since January, but the trajectory accelerated meaningfully this week. After taking a brief respite on Monday, the spot price for NDM rose every day between Tuesday and Friday, delivering an 18¢ increase, and qualifying as the commodity’s strongest week since May 2007.
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According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the U.S. just suffered its hottest summer ever. Soaring temperatures weighed on milk yields and tightened supplies as heat stress accumulated late in the summer and into September.
View reportThe Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auction kicked things off with bang and all products gained significant ground. Cheesemakers are running at their usual pace, as long as they can find the staff to do so and demand remains healthy.
View reportCME spot butter jumped 9ȼ this week. July butter production fell 0.8% short of the frantic pace of July 2020, but was still historically high. There is plenty of butter socked away to last through the fall and holiday baking season.
View reportHeat, humidity, and smoke are sapping milk yields around the nation. Higher Class I sales from coast to coast, coupled with sweltering temperatures, has tightened milk supplies noticeably. Meanwhile, students are back in school and all are eligible for free lunches with a carton of milk on the side.
View reportThere is an abundance of milk in both the United States and Europe, but momentum is slowing. The combination of summer temperatures and back-to-school demand has tightened milk supplies noticeably.
View reportThe spot Cheddar block market found the gas pedal this week, moving convincingly upward. Spot block prices closed higher than the previous session on four out of the week’s five trading days. Yet, as cheese prices moved up at the CME this week, dry whey prices moved down.
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