
The Latest: April - 2025
More Cows in the Barn
Every week, U.S. dairy producers send about 10,000 fewer milk cows to beef packers than they used to. That’s slowly adding up to more cows in the barn. Even so, dairy cow head counts are not as high as previously thought. After its quarterly survey, USDA trimmed its estimates of January and February milk cow inventories.
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Prices fluctuate as new market information collides with the realities of supply and demand. Reports indicate that milk production continues to exceed prior year levels and is growing seasonally as spring approaches.
View reportMilk production growth was strong across most of the United States in December, with the West and the Midwest posting particularly convincing figures. A dramatic expansion in the national dairy herd drove much of the increase.
View reportEven with a short week, there was no lack of action in the dairy markets. However, the market took the news poorly with most dairy commodities moving decisively downward.
View reportAfter the enthusiasm ignited by last week’s USDA announcement, most commodities struggled to keep the momentum going. The butter and cheese markets both finished the week on a softer note while dry products, especially whey, fared somewhat better.
View reportMonday’s announcement that the USDA is extending its Farmers to Families Food Box Program spurred dairy commodity prices upward, with all products seeing gains during Tuesday’s spot session.
View reportThere is no word yet on when USDA will begin spending its allocations, which makes it difficult to assess the repercussions for the dairy markets. The dairy funding could make a big splash if it is spent in a short time, or slowly ripple through the markets if spent steadily throughout the next year.
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