The Latest: May - 2026
Entire Dairy Complex Deflated
A tiny bit of air leaked out of the spot milk powder market, and the entire dairy complex deflated. CME spot nonfat dry milk (NDM) notched an all-time high on Tuesday at $2.265 per pound. Prices slipped Wednesday and Thursday and then bounced back on Friday. Spot NDM closed the week at $2.2625, just a hairsbreadth off the high and up 0.25ȼ for the week. But when spot NDM took a breather, dairy futures collapsed. Milk, cheese, whey, butter, and milk powder futures lost ground nearly every day this week. July and August NDM futures plummeted 4ȼ on Friday, their maximum daily loss, despite the late-week rebound in the spot market.
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High feed costs and pricey energy will quickly add up on the farm. Feed and energy costs are even higher in Europe, which will further deter growth on the continent.
View reportIn December, milk production among the world’s five largest dairy exporters fell 1.3% below December 2020, the steepest decline in five years. At 19 billion pounds, U.S. milk production was 1.6% lower than in January 2021, the steepest decline since March 2004.
View reportButter and Cheddar reached all-time highs at the Global Dairy Trade (GDT) auction on Tuesday, while both skim milk powder (SMP) and whole milk powder (WMP) prices climbed to fresh seven-year highs.
View reportBuyers and sellers jockeyed to exert their influence on the trade. The action in the cheese markets was relatively subdued, however important movements in the nonfat dry milk, whey, and especially butter markets, kept observers on their toes.
View reportThe phenomenon is certainly not limited to the United States. Market observers watched the Global Dairy Trade index climb on Tuesday by 4.1%, with the index reaching the highest level seen since February 2014.
View reportNearly every product lost ground at the CME as market participants challenged the high product prices seen in recent weeks. However, the butter markets really stole the show.
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